Scenario Analysis: Lessons from History?
The collapse of Wall Street powerhouses Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers are widely acknowledged to be seminal moments of the current credit crunch, with huge effect on portfolio risk. But what are the lessons for today, now that the financial sector has changed so dramatically?
How does the more recent behaviour of global equities markets reflect the lasting effects of those shocks?
Join Dr. Laurence Wormald, Head of Research at SunGard APT, as he examines:
- The short-and medium-term responses of the market to the shocks from banking collapses
- Which factors actually provide an adequate explanation of those shocks?
- How to design forward-looking scenarios - "stress tests" - to capture the effects of market shocks
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